Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000807 0.000919 0.001038 0.001173 0.001321 0.001478 0.001657
2025-03-23 0.000622 0.000777 0.000951 0.001162 0.001407 0.001683 0.002014
2025-03-30 0.000527 0.000701 0.000906 0.001164 0.001476 0.001838 0.002287
2025-04-06 0.000449 0.000632 0.000858 0.001152 0.001520 0.001959 0.002519
2025-04-13 0.000384 0.000571 0.000810 0.001131 0.001545 0.002053 0.002713
2025-04-20 0.000349 0.000543 0.000800 0.001156 0.001625 0.002212 0.002989
2025-04-27 0.000317 0.000516 0.000787 0.001172 0.001691 0.002353 0.003245
2025-05-04 0.000280 0.000477 0.000755 0.001159 0.001717 0.002441 0.003432
2025-05-11 0.000245 0.000438 0.000718 0.001137 0.001728 0.002508 0.003592
2025-05-18 0.000226 0.000420 0.000709 0.001152 0.001787 0.002639 0.003838
2025-05-25 0.000205 0.000398 0.000693 0.001155 0.001829 0.002746 0.004053
2025-06-01 0.000179 0.000363 0.000655 0.001123 0.001818 0.002780 0.004169
2025-06-08 0.000155 0.000331 0.000618 0.001091 0.001807 0.002814 0.004287
2025-06-15 0.000140 0.000312 0.000602 0.001088 0.001839 0.002908 0.004490
2025-06-22 0.000126 0.000295 0.000587 0.001088 0.001873 0.003005 0.004698
2025-06-29 0.000113 0.000276 0.000568 0.001077 0.001890 0.003078 0.004872
2025-07-06 0.000100 0.000256 0.000543 0.001057 0.001892 0.003127 0.005013
2025-07-13 0.000094 0.000251 0.000545 0.001081 0.001961 0.003276 0.005301
2025-07-20 0.000088 0.000243 0.000543 0.001096 0.002018 0.003408 0.005564
2025-07-27 0.000078 0.000228 0.000525 0.001084 0.002029 0.003471 0.005729
2025-08-03 0.000069 0.000211 0.000503 0.001063 0.002026 0.003512 0.005861
2025-08-10 0.000064 0.000205 0.000500 0.001077 0.002079 0.003640 0.006123
2025-08-17 0.000059 0.000197 0.000492 0.001080 0.002114 0.003740 0.006345